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For the Ukrainian president, the Kursk offensive is the first step toward a possible end-game more favorable to Ukraine. With all the unknowns, it is unclear whether his gambit will succeed.

SSP Director M. Taylor Fravel and principal research scientist Eric Heginbotham's latest research essay, "Envisioning a Stable Military Balance," appears on the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace's "U.S.-China Relations for the 2030s: Toward a Realistic Scenario for Coexistence."

The upcoming BRICS summit, which will take place in the Russian city of Kazan from October 22 to 24, 2024, will be a critical test of the group’s capacity to sustain its growth and work toward uniting the countries of the "global majority." To understand the implications of the enlarged BRICS group for Western global governance agendas, Mihaela Papa, director of research and a principal research scientist at CIS, describes the key dynamics to watch

Director of research and principal research scientist, Mihaela Papa, discusses how the economic integration of emerging market nations within the expanded BRICS group will be enhanced by advancements in proposals like a payments system and grain exchange.

Israel’s assassination of a top Hamas leader in Tehran in July, Ukraine’s incursion over the summer into Russia, and a recent series of increasingly assertive Chinese air and maritime interceptions in the South China Sea have fanned fears that long-simmering conflicts could escalate into broader wars. In the wake of these provocations, analysts fret about the heightened risk of military accidents and strategic misperceptions.