Analysis + Opinion | Older
Analysis + OpinionDecember 12, 2016Reports of saving the Pentagon billions are just fake newsHarvey M. SapolskyThe National InterestThe Balkan teenagers are at it again, this time in the guise of members of the Defense Business Board and consultants from McKinsey, with the claim that their report offering $125 billion in savings was being suppressed by the Department of Defense. |
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Analysis + OpinionNovember 29, 2016How to think about RussiaBarry R. PosenThe National InterestBecause the West is strong, and relative to Russia likely to get stronger, it is in a position to accommodate some Russian concerns, says Barry Posen, Ford International Professor of Political Science and director of the MIT Security Studies Program. Posen is among several experts featured in The National Interest on the future of US-Russia relations. |
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Analysis + OpinionNovember 18, 2016Confusion is riskyVipin Narang, Christopher Clary The Indian ExpressAfter Manohar Parrikar’s comments on no-first-use policy, a prime ministerial clarification is called for. Since 1998, a key pillar of India’s nuclear policy has been a pledge not to use nuclear weapons first. After considering the utility of individually negotiated bilateral or multilateral agreements committing to no-first-use (NFU) of nuclear weapons, by August 1998, the then prime minister, Atal Bihari Vajpayee, opted to unilaterally announce that India would “not be the first to use nuclear weapons”. |
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Analysis + OpinionNovember 16, 2016The Wall and the Ban: Can Trump really accomplish either?John TirmanWBURAnti-immigrant fervor fueled Donald Trump’s White House bid from the beginning, so a Trump presidency naturally worries undocumented immigrants in the United States. |
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Analysis + OpinionOctober 20, 2016South Asian nuclear tensions: Back to core issuesJayita SarkarBulletin of the Atomic ScientistsTo be sure, when tensions erupt between nuclear-armed adversaries in a conflict-prone zone, a superpower’s regional role is far from irrelevant, writes Jayita Sarkar, a Research Fellow with the MIT Security Studies Program. |
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Analysis + OpinionOctober 13, 2016Impose an arms embargo in South SudanJacey FortinBoston Globe“For many South Sudanese, peace has been punitive. Millions have been displaced by a civil war that began in 2013, two years after the country achieved independence,” writes Jacey Fortin, the Center’s Elizabeth Neuffer Fellow, in an opinion piece for the Boston Globe. |
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Analysis + OpinionOctober 4, 2016The lines that have been crossedVipin NarangThe HinduAs the dust settles following the so-called September 29 “surgical strike” which witnessed the publicly acknowledged employment of Indian special forces across the Line of Control (LoC) for the first time in over a decade, it is useful to take stock of the larger implications… |
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Analysis + OpinionSeptember 18, 2016How to get China to use its leverage against North KoreaEric Heginbotham and Richard J. Samuels The National InterestIt is time for a bargain between Washington and Beijing on a new and tougher approach—one that will require China to use its leverage to change North Korean behavior. Barring that, those most directly threatened—South Korea, Japan, and the United States—will rightly adopt new defensive measures that will, ultimately, impinge on Beijing’s security interests. |
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Analysis + OpinionSeptember 12, 2016Why Zimbabwe's military sticks with MugabePhilip MartinForeign AffairsZimbabwe is headed for turbulent waters. Over the last few months, a protest movement has highlighted popular dissatisfaction with what many Zimbabweans see as the economic mismanagement and heavy-handed tactics of the government of President Robert Mugabe. Opposition groups are joining forces in an effort to defeat the ruling party in the 2018 elections. |
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Analysis + OpinionAugust 12, 2016Here are 4 reasons that South Africa’s ANC lost ground in this month’s electionsNina McMurry, Philip Martin, Evan Lieberman and Daniel de KadtThe Washington PostOn Aug. 3, South African municipal elections delivered a startling result. The African National Congress won the majority of votes nationwide, as it has in every election since it brought apartheid to an end in 1994. But this year, for the first time, the ANC looked vulnerable, and secured only 53.9% of votes cast throughout the country, its first result below 60%. |
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Analysis + OpinionJuly 13, 2016The strategic implications of the South China Sea tribunal’s awardM. Taylor FravelThe National InterestOn July 12, the tribunal hearing the case issued its ruling that can only be described as a huge win for the Philippines. Digesting all 507 pages of the award will take time, allowing only for preliminary judgments to be made. I discuss several strategic implications. |
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Analysis + OpinionMay 8, 2016Putin's pullout: a failing public relations campaignCarol R. SaivetzLawfareRussia won in Syria—or so Putin would like us to believe. The Russian intervention seemed to tip the balance of forces in Assad's favor, and Russia announced a pullout with its mission accomplished. Carol Saivetz of MIT, a regular Lawfare contributor, makes the case for skepticism. |
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Analysis + OpinionMay 3, 2016Poor substituteBy Eric Heginbotham and Richard J. Samuels Foreign AffairsThe announcement last week that Australia will replace its aging submarine fleet with Shortfin Barracuda submarines from France is an enormous missed opportunity, not only for Australia, but also for its most important allies, Japan and the United States. |
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Analysis + OpinionApril 26, 2016US Navy ships shouldn't be floating billboards for democratsHarvey M. SapolskyThe National InterestThe secretaries of the armed services have been losing power ever since the enactment of the National Security Act of 1947. The service secretaries are no longer members of the president’s cabinet and rarely perform more than ceremonial duties. |
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Analysis + OpinionApril 19, 2016SCOTUS and immigration: the politics behind the caseJohn TirmanHuffington PostThe oral arguments before the US Supreme Court on President Obama’s executive order on immigration were made Monday, and afterwards most observers agreed it’s not clear how the Court will decide the case. |
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Analysis + OpinionMarch 22, 2016Has ISIS declared war on Europe?Jim WalshWBUR: Here & NowThe Islamic State group has claimed responsibility for the terrorist attacks in Brussels today. Here & Now's security analyst Jim Walsh discusses the attacks with host Robin Young. |
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Analysis + OpinionMarch 10, 2016To stop the missiles, stop North Korea, Inc.Jim Walsh and John ParkThe New York TimesAmerican diplomats should be proud of the new sanctions on North Korea that the United Nations Security Council passed last week. In response to a nuclear test in January and missile launch in February, the Council, at the United States’ urging, agreed to a ban on North Korean imports of jet fuel and to mandate inspections of all cargo coming into or out of North Korea. |
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Analysis + OpinionMarch 4, 2016North Korea ramps up nuclear readinessJim WalshWBUR: Here & NowNorth Korean leader Kim Jong-un says his country's nuclear weapons should be ready for use "at any time." Here & Now's Peter O'Dowd asks security analyst Jim Walsh about that and what this new declaration from Kim really signifies. |
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Analysis + OpinionFebruary 8, 2016UN condemns North Korea rocket launchJim WalshWBUR: Here & NowThe United Nations Security Council say it will impose new sanctions on North Korea after its launch of a long-range rocket. Sunday's action follows a fourth nuclear test a few weeks ago, and the two acts violate existing sanctions. Here & Now's Robin Young checks in with our security analyst Jim Walsh. |
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Analysis + OpinionJanuary 27, 2016Sanders’ surge is part of a growing global movementMeera SrinivasanBoston GlobeThe rebellious energy of Bernie Sanders’s campaign for the presidency in the United States, coupled with some good timing, has fueled global hopes that the left could be poised to make a comeback in Western democracies after decades of retreat. |